A hot Thursday forecast for QLD this week – what will it mean for electricity demand?


I was alerted to this ABC news article “Heatwave in western Queensland to head towards the south-east” via Twitter this morning so though I would have a quick look at what’s apparent in the Queensland region of the NEM currently.

In NEM-Watch this morning, we see that the Queensland demand is in the green zone (in the middle of its historical range) and that the AEMO is forecasting in predispatch that the Queensland demand today might reach up towards 7,800MW (that’s more than 1,000MW below the all-time record – and below what we have been expecting the peak will be – so nothing to shout about).

2015-03-02-at-08-00-NEM-Watch-QLDforecast

Looking further into the future this week with the ST PASA view within ez2view, we see the 50% POE demand forecast shows that (under the weather conditions assumed for the 50% case) the demand in Queensland might reach 8,250MW on the day.

As shown in the table below, this compares to a higher forecast of 8,606MW under the 10% POE (extreme weather) demand forecast.  Now that would make for a more noteworthy day!

2015-03-02-ez2view-QLD-STPASA

With entrants in our competition #2 for this extended summer period still keenly interested in these types of weather-induced demand excursions, we thought it worth flagging at the start of the week.

About the Author

Paul McArdle
One of three founders of Global-Roam back in 2000, Paul has been CEO of the company since that time. As an author on WattClarity, Paul's focus has been to help make the electricity market more understandable.

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