Tag Archives: wind forecasting

Article: A stinking hot weekend poses a reminder of the difficulty of forecasting electricity demand

AEMO’s demand forecasts for Saturday 6th January 2017 were about 500MW below what the mark turned out to be. It appears that this is due (at least in part) due to difficulties in forecasting intermittent generation which acts to reduce “Scheduled Demand”.

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Article: Still a long way to go before wind forecasting models are as good as they will need to be as installed capacity grows….

Today (Wednesday 27th December) sees some wild gyrations in aggregate wind farm output across South Australia. The (current) impossibility in forecasting these gyrations accurately is one of the factors contributing to higher prices seen today in South Australia and Victoria.

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