Long-Term Market trends and forecasts


Trends in Production and Spot Revenues at 4 coal-fired stations

A number of recently announced closures of (and cut-backs in) a variety of coal-fired power station units across the NEM (including Northern, Yallourn, Munmorah and Tarong) – claimed to be a result of carbon pricing – generated significant interest in the press, and interested us to open NEM-Review and have a look at longer term trends, and the extent to which that attribution might be true.



Trends in power station output by fuel type

Some observations about the longer-term trend of electricity production, across the NEM, aggregated across all states by fuel type. This reveals some of the trends that have been developing in recent years prior to the introduction of the carbon tax.


Hydro generation increases with La Nina

An article recently in one of the main papers about increased flows down the Snowy River prompted the question, internally, about how much the La Nina pattern of the past 24 months had impacted on production volumes from the hydro facilities around the NEM.









NSW winter peak demand forecasts

Our Managing Director spoke at the “Australian Energy & Utility Summit 08” in
Sydney on Tuesday 22nd July 2008, touching on a number of issues including the nature of peak demand forecasts (for winter in the NSW region) over the coming 10 years