RepuTex Energy builds on the Generator Report Card 2018 to provide insights into how different weather patterns impact wind production and the implications for system diversity and portfolio risk.
A brief follow on from yesterday’s post, with the advantage of being able to review yesterday’s bids (and rebids) today.
This morning over on Twitter, I was pulled into a discussion that had started with respect to volume of wind energy curtailed in South Australia: The genesis of this…
Alerted by our NEMwatch dashboard, I delve into the data and see a scary degree of correlation between the (very low) output of wind farms in south-east South Australia, and (similarly low) output from newer wind farms in northern NSW.
An explanation of how the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) contributed to the wind drought we observed recently on WattClarity.
Total wind output (aggregated across all wind farms in South Australia) established a new record on Sunday 9th April.
The three main flaws that put boundaries on the usefulness of all forecasting/modelling
Some thoughts about the possible uplift to Infigen Energy revenues, stemming from higher forward contract prices in the South Australian region of the NEM
Two slides (from BNEF and AEMO) that provide some context on the energy transition
A starting list of factors that I’d look further into, if I was sucked into the “rabbit hole” of assessing all of the contributing factors leading to the Remarkable Prices seen in Q2 2016 – and which could continue into the future.
Recording early days of electricity production at the Hornsdale Wind Farm
Back on 8th October, I spoke at All Energy in Melbourne on this topic. Given the questions posed after the session, it seemed that it might be of value to some WattClarity readers if I narrated over the top of the presentation and included it here, for future reference.
A sped-up animation covering spanning a September 2015 weekend in the South Australian region of the NEM, illustrating both sides of the wind farm output coin.
Some further analysis of different aspects of wind farm output in South Australia
Some back-of-the-envelope calculations being a starting point to help me understand how much real contribution electric vehicles might make in feeding back into the grid when intermittent generation is absent.
Some thoughts about Capacity Payments – given the article in the AFR yesterday
A hypothetical case of what production patterns from wind might look like through a year with increased installed capacity of wind farms.
A quick look at the extent to which wind supplies (across all wind turbines in the NEM) are diverse enough for supplies to have a degree of dependability.