Analytical Challenge - remembering that it's impossible to know motive (but does not stop us guessing)

Here’s another flag that keeps cropping up when completing analysis on WattClarity.

By tagging in other articles we post, we’ll be able to highlight occasions when we are tempted to ascribe motivations to certain behaviours in the market.  Even if we know that we can’t be 100% sure we are correct when we try to get inside someone else’s (or another organisation’s) head, that does not stop us doing it from time to time.

Tags:
  • Bookmark and Share

    | More

2 responses to “Analytical Challenge - remembering that it's impossible to know motive (but does not stop us guessing)”

  1. […] This constraint (called “N^^N_NIL_1”) is a “System Normal” constraint (so invoked all the time) and will seek to wind down the output of all the elements on the Left-Hand Side when bound (where they have a positive factor).  Snowy Hydro was effectively competing with flow north from VIC to get dispatched into the NSW reference node – hence this seems to be the reason why it would have offered so much volume down at –$1,000/MWh from 17:10 (i.e. prior to the spike) – though we do remember that we can’t know, with certainty, why they shifted volume thus. […]

  2. […] that it is not possible to know a participants motivation when you’re sitting on the outside looking in like we do, it does seem that there are a couple […]

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *