Analytical Challenge – avoiding Recency Bias

Today I have noted (in this listing of observations across the past couple months of our own residential solar PV output at home) that I fell trap to the tendency to place too much emphasis on what’s happened recently, to the extent of losing a broader perspective of what’s happened over a broader time range (i.e. in terms of performance, or change, or other characteristics).

I’ll post more about this, in more general terms, when I have more time…

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3 responses to “Analytical Challenge – avoiding Recency Bias”

  1. […] Key take-away #4 Everyone is subject to a “recency bias”, which is one of the core analytical challenges I have highlighted separately here. […]

  2. […] Key take-away #4 Everyone is subject to a “recency bias”, which is one of the core analytical challenges I have highlighted separately here. […]

  3. Interested Observer says:

    Interested to see your thoughts on this. I regularly see another bias at work – optimism bias – which is where people think that things that have happened in the past to others wont happen in future to them, without any genuine reasons for thinking this.

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