Monthly Archives: July 2009

Further thoughts about Summer 2008-09 (the heatwave, bushfires, new demand peak, and blackouts)

Summer 2008-09 is now well behind us, and there are a number of official reviews underway that will report back at some stage. Even so, we’ve been continuing to ponder a couple of things about what happened in January 2009 (particularly in VIC and SA) and will endeavour to post a couple of these thoughts […]

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Should last summer’s peak NEM-Wide demand have surprised us so much?

We saw a massive new peak for NEM-Wide demand set on 29th January 2009, which surprised many (including us).

We return to that data and, by comparing with the previous 10 summers, see whether it should have been entirely unexpected.

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Impact of the GFC on the NEM?

Out of curiosity, we have performed some analysis of the extent to which the GFC has had an impact on the level of consumption of electricity across the NEM.

What impact has the GFC (Global Financial Crisis) had on the NEM?

Given that the 2008-09 financial year has just ended, I thought it would be an appropriate time to look into what impact the GFC has had on electricity demand in the NEM.

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A brief look at peak NEM-Wide Demand over recent winters

This weekend, we have prepared this analysis of the entries we received for our “Peak Demand Forecaster” competition for winter 2009.

In conjunction with this analysis, we thought it would be of interest to also incorporate this chart (generated from a BETA version of the NEM-Review v6 software package) to highlight how the peak NEM-Wide demand unfolded over the previous winters…

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Summary of entries received for the “Best Demand Forecaster” competition for Winter 2009

A couple of weeks ago, we opened for entries in our “Best Demand Forecaster” competition – run for the first time during winter.

Entries closed on Monday 29th June (2 weeks ago now) but we have only just found the time to do some analysis of the entries we received, which we have summarised in the following graph…

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