Articles

If I was going to assess Factors Contributing to the “truly remarkable” Q2 2016 prices, here are some starting places I’d look…

A starting list of factors that I’d look further into, if I was sucked into the “rabbit hole” of assessing all of the contributing factors leading to the Remarkable Prices seen in Q2 2016 – and which could continue into the future.

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The Emotion-o-Meter

A figurative illustration of the broad range of people we’re increasingly seeing weighing into the discussion about the future of the energy sector. Itself a challenge for the transition.

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A model’s just a model – it’s not reality (though some models might be useful)

Models are simplifications of reality. Some are more precise than others. Some are useful for different purposes.

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Note - we see the "Energy Transition" as very broad

Quick note about energy transition

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Win, lose or draw: Three scenarios for the electricity system in 2030

Cast your mind back 15 years to 2016. You probably don’t remember this, but 15 years ago people still debated whether the growth of distributed energy would fundamentally transform the Australian electricity system.

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Hornsdale Wind Farm starting up at a time in South Australia when every MWh matters

Recording early days of electricity production at the Hornsdale Wind Farm

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Reviewing Q2 prices – short-term excursion, or more systemic change in pricing patterns?

Some initial analysis about the remarkable pricing outcomes seen across all regions of the NEM through Q2 2016

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Exceptional pricing during Q2 in South Australia (but really across all regions) hurting major energy users

Some brief notes about a changed pricing pattern observed in Q2 2016

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The opacity of distributed, small-scale solar PV output

A comparison of the output of the two different estimates now available for aggregate state-wide output from small-scale solar PV systems – the ARENA-funded APVI method, and a new method from AEMO

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Update on “cost” of Tassie’s energy crisis

Some quick calcs to update a ball-park estimate on the cost of the Tasmanian energy crisis

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